← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Regensburg win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 52' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Dong-Won Ji · Darmstadt |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 309.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1438.69 | 1497.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.26 | 29.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| league points | 50.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |