← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 40' | 🟨 | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 43' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Holstein Kiel |
| 67' | 🟨 | Dominic Peitz · Holstein Kiel |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Tobias Levels · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | ⚽ | Kingsley Schindler · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · Holstein Kiel |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 82' | 🟨 | Robert Leipertz · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 271.00 | 636.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1520.19 | 1553.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 43.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |