← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arne Aarnink, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 35% | 2.78 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Manuel Stiefler · SV Sandhausen |
| 17' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 37' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 3893.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1467.65 | 1495.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.97 | 32.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.70 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |