← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 148.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1459.57 | 1462.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.99 | -11.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 67.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 38.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |