← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 18% | 5.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 16' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 27' | 🟨 | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 65' | 🟥 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 75' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 85.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1504.05 | 1413.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.04 | -18.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |