← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Ingolstadt win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 39' | ⚽ | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 50' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | ⚽ | Robin Bormuth · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 782.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1509.55 | 1536.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.78 | 15.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| league points | 59.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 28.11 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |