← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
| Heidenheim win | 19% | 5.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 58' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 74' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 90' | 🟨 | Norman Theuerkauf · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 138.00 | 3885.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1515.82 | 1464.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.85 | -15.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 42.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |