← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 45% | 2.17 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 29% | 3.38 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 16' | 🟨 | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 20' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 26' | 🟨 | Markus Palionis · Regensburg |
| 37' | 🟨 | Richard Neudecker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marc Lais · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jan-Philipp Kalla · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟥 | Sami Allagui · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 48' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | ⚽ | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 57' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 75' | 🟥 | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 294.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1454.93 | 1472.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.25 | -24.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 47.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |