← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Bielefeld win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Robin Becker · Braunschweig |
| 86' | 🟨 | Florian Dick · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 3641.00 | 658.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1524.42 | 1494.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.20 | 15.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |