← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 71' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
| 82' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 231.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1462.69 | 1503.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.83 | 49.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 28.39 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |