← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Hartmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Braunschweig win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Slobodan Medojević · Braunschweig |
| 40' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Braunschweig |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Quirin Moll · Braunschweig |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 135.00 | 3636.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1482.21 | 1523.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.76 | -4.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 35.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.51 | -1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |