← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Stieler, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Regensburg win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jürgen Gjasula · Greuther Furth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 46' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Markus Palionis · Regensburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Alexander Nandzik · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 224.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1475.30 | 1442.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.68 | -9.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |