← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Regensburg win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nils Seufert · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | 🟨 | Stipe Vučur · Kaiserslautern |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marcel Correia · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Markus Palionis · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 66.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1463.61 | 1439.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.53 | -1.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 31.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.32 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |