← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Dresden win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Haris Duljević · Dresden |
| 23' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Braunschweig |
| 28' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Braunschweig |
| 84' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 3629.00 | 1012.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1527.75 | 1446.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.37 | -4.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 24.59 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |