← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.37 |
| Bielefeld win | 15% | 6.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 61' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 62' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Ingolstadt |
| 77' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 250.00 | 646.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1540.59 | 1479.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.58 | -10.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 26.54 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |