← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Darmstadt win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Holstein Kiel |
| 24' | 🟨 | Dominic Peitz · Holstein Kiel |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tom Weilandt · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 614.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1558.88 | 1478.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.93 | 32.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.70 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 51.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 28.35 |
| state index | 0.95 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |