← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Bochum win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 70' | ⚽ | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 73' | 🟨 | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟥 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 87' | 🟥 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 766.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1538.46 | 1482.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.77 | 45.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 59.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 28.57 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |