← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Darmstadt win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 28' | 🟨 | Julian Schauerte · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 38' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 43' | 🟥 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 48' | 🟨 | Wilson Kamavuaka · Darmstadt |
| 75' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 122.00 | 762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1467.76 | 1549.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.51 | 29.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 16.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |