← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Bielefeld win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 25' | ⚽ | Kingsley Schindler · Holstein Kiel |
| 42' | 🟨 | Stefan Ortega · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Johannes van den Bergh · Holstein Kiel |
| 66' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Bielefeld |
| 82' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sören Brandy · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 639.00 | 608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1479.14 | 1559.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.54 | 26.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 15.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |