← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 121.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1496.02 | 1462.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.76 | -22.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.64 |
| league points | 37.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 26.96 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |