← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.45 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Roberto Hilbert · Greuther Furth |
| 32' | 🟨 | Simon Hedlund · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marvin Friedrich · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | ⚽ (og) | Grischa Prömel · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 212.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1463.92 | 1521.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.67 | -21.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 26.42 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |