← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Braunschweig win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 7' | 🟨 | Stefano Celozzi · Bochum |
| 24' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 70' | 🟨 | Gustav Valsvik · Braunschweig |
| 74' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Braunschweig |
| 82' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 59.00 | 3622.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1467.26 | 1543.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.73 | 9.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 35.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 26.52 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |