← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Heidenheim win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Christian Träsch · Ingolstadt |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 67' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Ingolstadt |
| 80' | ⚽ | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3864.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1464.51 | 1530.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.00 | -23.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 28.35 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |