← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 41' | ⚽ | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 291.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1422.12 | 1473.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.36 | 54.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 67.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.85 |
| league points | 30.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -1.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |