← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Darmstadt win | 21% | 4.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 47' | 🟨 | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kevin Großkreutz · Darmstadt |
| 78' | ⚽ | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 16 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 382.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1553.46 | 1463.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.71 | -7.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 27.95 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |