← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 38% | 2.58 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 71' | 🟥 | Jan-Ingwer Callsen-Bracker · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Yi-Young Park · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 84' | ⚽ | Lukas Spalvis · Kaiserslautern |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sami Allagui · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 44.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1417.85 | 1496.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.72 | 15.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 24.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |