← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Bielefeld win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 745.00 | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1538.64 | 1489.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.25 | 14.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 56.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 26.33 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |