← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Braunschweig win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Suleiman Abdullahi · Braunschweig |
| 69' | 🟨 | Richard Neudecker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 99.00 | 3600.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1497.38 | 1528.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.70 | -10.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.66 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 27.36 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.62 | -1.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |