← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Darmstadt win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Ingolstadt |
| 21' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Tobias Levels · Ingolstadt |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tobias Schröck · Ingolstadt |
| 54' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 75' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Ingolstadt |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dong-Won Ji · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 99.00 | 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1463.78 | 1520.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.25 | -50.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.09 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |