← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.82 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Osayamen Osawe · Kaiserslautern |
| 63' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 71' | 🟨 | Leon Guwara · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Stipe Vučur · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1466.52 | 1425.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.92 | 25.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| league points | 30.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 25.30 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |