← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 57' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 61' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Holstein Kiel |
| 70' | 🟨 | Dominic Peitz · Holstein Kiel |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 37.00 | 586.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1453.85 | 1554.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.11 | -3.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 70.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 27.88 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |