← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Nurnberg win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ewerton · Nurnberg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 616.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1478.86 | 1564.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.70 | -6.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 36.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 24.69 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |