← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Stieler, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Bochum win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Alfredo Morales · Ingolstadt |
| 32' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 36' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 38' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 49' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · Ingolstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 216.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1535.11 | 1439.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.10 | -19.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 28.94 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |