← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 13' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 27' | 🟨 | Suleiman Abdullahi · Braunschweig |
| 36' | ⚽ | Christoffer Nyman · Braunschweig |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jan Hochscheidt · Braunschweig |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 3594.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1522.38 | 1452.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.40 | 34.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 30.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.73 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |