← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 13' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 74' | ⚽ | Takashi Usami · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 733.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1508.69 | 1505.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.64 | -1.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 47.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |