← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 19' | 🟨 | Tim Knipping · SV Sandhausen |
| 30' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 69' | ⚽ | Rúrik Gíslason · SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 610.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1487.62 | 1413.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.88 | -3.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 27.14 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |