← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 68' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Levent Ayçiçek · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Steininger · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 367.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1587.08 | 1443.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.81 | 18.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| league points | 51.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 26.00 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |