← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Brandon Borrello · Kaiserslautern |
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Sebastian Andersson · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 41' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 59' | 🟨 | Leon Guwara · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 81' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 84' | 🟨 | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 86' | ⚽ | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Kessel · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 29.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1413.08 | 1541.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.15 | -0.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 67.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 21.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.43 | 26.77 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |