← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Darmstadt win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 55' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 78' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 975.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.20 |
| 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1463.88 | 1445.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.64 | -47.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.10 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 23.97 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.10 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |