← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Heidenheim win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Kevin Kraus · Heidenheim |
| 17' | 🟥 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 18' | 🟨 | Kevin Großkreutz · Darmstadt |
| 18' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 39' | 🟨 | Wilson Kamavuaka · Darmstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 82' | 🟨 | Robert Strauss · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 86.00 | 3830.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1446.17 | 1481.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.23 | 11.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 25.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 28.05 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |