← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Tobias Werner · Nurnberg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 24.00 | 361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.20 |
| 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1437.04 | 1589.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.78 | 37.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 27.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 26.10 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |