← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Brand, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 17% | 5.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 82.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1533.96 | 1494.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.97 | 13.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| league points | 32.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.68 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |