← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 37' | 🟨 | Onur Bulut · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dominick Kumbela · Braunschweig |
| 79' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jan Hochscheidt · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 176.00 | 3586.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1432.44 | 1533.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.91 | -9.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| league points | 24.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 27.32 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.26 | -1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |