← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Dresden win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 28' | ⚽ | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 30' | 🟨 | Florian Dick · Bielefeld |
| 48' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 56' | 🟨 | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 64' | ⚽ | Lucas Röser · Dresden |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 79' | ⚽ | Lucas Röser · Dresden |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 85' | 🟨 | Peniel Mlapa · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 602.00 | 968.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 4.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1489.78 | 1451.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.24 | -11.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 24.04 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |