← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 13' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 15' | ⚽ | Takashi Usami · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 23' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 37' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Jonas Nietfeld · Regensburg |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 237.00 | 724.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1441.58 | 1519.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.27 | 8.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 25.79 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |