← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Brandon Borrello · Kaiserslautern |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 61' | ⚽ | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Slobodan Medojević · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 82.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1459.25 | 1408.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.04 | 15.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.11 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.50 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |