← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Braunschweig win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 60' | 🟨 | Michael Parensen · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 90' | 🟨 | Akaki Gogia · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 3580.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1524.77 | 1542.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.59 | -7.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 68.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| league points | 27.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |