← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.37 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 16% | 6.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 565.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1538.45 | 1399.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.51 | -24.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 73.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 39.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 27.28 |
| state index | -0.81 | -1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |