← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Darmstadt win | 23% | 4.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 26' | 🟨 | Artur Sobiech · Darmstadt |
| 31' | 🟨 | Florian Dick · Bielefeld |
| 33' | ⚽ | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
| 43' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 596.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1477.60 | 1471.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.24 | -21.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 32.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.83 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |