← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 28 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 718.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1523.39 | 1428.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.37 | 6.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 46.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.71 | 25.82 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |